11.6        Uncertainties

a.              Analysis of the uncertainties in the exposure calculation shall incorporate the uncertainties in the source data identified in Table 11‑3 (from the atomic bomb data) and Table 11‑4 (from the space radiation field).

NOTE 1      The uncertainties in risk estimates have been evaluated in detail in ‘NCRP 1997’ [14]. The risk estimates are presented in a distribution that ranges from 1,15 to 8,1x10-2 Sv-1 for the 90 % confidence interval for the nominal value of 4 % per Sv for an adult US population.

NOTE 2      Uncertainties also arise from systematic errors (and potentially statistical errors in the case of Monte Carlo simulation) in the radiation shielding calculation – see ECSS-E-HB-10-12, Section 5.8.