Table 11‑3: Sources of uncertainties for risk estimation from atomic bomb data
|
Uncertainties |
Approximate contribution |
|
|
Supporting higher risk estimates |
Dosimetry bias errors |
+10 % |
|
Under-reporting |
+13 % |
|
|
Projection directly from current data |
+? % |
|
|
Supporting lower risk estimates |
Dosimetry: more neutrons at |
-22 % |
|
Projection, i.e., by using attained age (?) |
-50 % |
|
|
Either way |
Transfer between populations |
? ±25-50 % |
|
Dose response and extrapolation |
? ±50 % |
|
|
NOTE: Source: [15] |
||